The question isn't who is better, it's who stops bleeding first. CheckLive's model makes Connecticut Sun a 55% favorite in this WNBA meeting, which is the numbers' way of shrugging — a home floor, a medium signal, and very little else separating two teams playing out a season that got away from them. What's at stake is pride and the shape of the last impression.
Connecticut Sun vs Toronto Tempo Basketball Live Score & Lineups
Michael KempferBasketball AnalystMATCH PREVIEWQuestions & Answers
Who is the favourite in Connecticut Sun vs Toronto Tempo?
CheckLive favours Connecticut Sun. Model signal strength: 55/100.
When is Connecticut Sun vs Toronto Tempo?
25 September 2026 at 00:00 UK time
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
- Matches0
- The most effective match0
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Points | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Pre-match betting activity
$1.4K
Betting volume85
bets- Toronto Tempo to win78.8% of bets→$97367 bets
- Connecticut Sun to win21.2% of bets→$39018 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Connecticut Sun
Little divides these two. CheckLive's read gives Connecticut Sun a 55% lean, built almost entirely on home floor rather than any gap in quality, with Toronto Tempo edging the composure side of the ledger. Expect a tight, low-margin night.
Over 173
Medium confidence55%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
43
40
CheckSkill
59
58
CheckMental
34
37
CheckLive total48.4 vs 47.5+0.9
More match signals
Home win — Connecticut Sun50%
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
All markets · comparison unavailable
CHECKLIVEOver 17343% confidence
Betting pickToronto Tempo to win79% of bets · $973
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Connecticut Sun vs Toronto Tempo?
Connecticut Sun are narrow favorites at home, but only just. The gap between the two sides is small enough that Toronto Tempo winning outright would surprise nobody.
Are Connecticut Sun in better form than Toronto Tempo?
Connecticut Sun hold a marginal edge in form and skill, though Toronto Tempo rate better on the mental side. Neither team arrives with anything resembling a decisive advantage.
Should you back over or under total points here?
The under has the cleaner logic. Two closely matched sides in an opening-round meeting tend to grind, and neither profile suggests a runaway scoring night.
WNBA 2026
| # | Team | P | W | L | % | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Lynx | 43 | 32 | 11 | 74.4% | LLWL |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries | 43 | 31 | 12 | 72.1% | WWWL |
| 3 |  Las Vegas Aces | 43 | 30 | 13 | 69.8% | WWWW |
| 4 |  Atlanta Dream | 43 | 29 | 14 | 67.4% | WWWW |
| 5 |  Indiana Fever | 43 | 28 | 15 | 65.1% | WWLW |
| 6 |  Washington Mystics | 43 | 27 | 16 | 62.8% | LWWW |
| 7 |  Dallas Wings | 43 | 26 | 17 | 60.5% | WWLW |
| 8 |  New York Liberty | 43 | 26 | 17 | 60.5% | WWLL |
| 9 | Portland Fire | 44 | 17 | 27 | 38.6% | LLLW |
| 10 |  Chicago Sky | 43 | 16 | 27 | 37.2% | LLLW |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Sparks | 43 | 16 | 27 | 37.2% | WLWL |
| 12 |  Phoenix Mercury | 43 | 16 | 27 | 37.2% | WWLW |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo | 43 | 11 | 32 | 25.6% | LLLL |
| 14 |  Connecticut Sun | 43 | 10 | 33 | 23.3% | LLLL |
| 15 |  Seattle Storm | 43 | 8 | 35 | 18.6% | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | DIFF | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 43 | +296 | 74.4% |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries | 43 | +309 | 72.1% |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces | 43 | +231 | 69.8% |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream | 43 | +284 | 67.4% |
| 5 | Indiana Fever | 43 | +263 | 65.1% |
| 6 | Washington Mystics | 43 | +48 | 62.8% |
| 7 | Dallas Wings | 43 | +170 | 60.5% |
| 8 | New York Liberty | 43 | +157 | 60.5% |
| 9 | Portland Fire | 44 | -211 | 38.6% |
| 10 | Chicago Sky | 43 | -163 | 37.2% |
| 11 | Los Angeles Sparks | 43 | -187 | 37.2% |
| 12 | Phoenix Mercury | 43 | -124 | 37.2% |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo | 43 | -369 | 25.6% |
| 14 | Connecticut Sun | 43 | -419 | 23.3% |
| 15 | Seattle Storm | 43 | -285 | 18.6% |
| # | Team | P | DIFF | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Dream | 43 | +284 | 67.4% |
| 2 | Indiana Fever | 43 | +263 | 65.1% |
| 3 | Washington Mystics | 43 | +48 | 62.8% |
| 4 | New York Liberty | 43 | +157 | 60.5% |
| 5 | Chicago Sky | 43 | -163 | 37.2% |
| 6 | Toronto Tempo | 43 | -369 | 25.6% |
| 7 | Connecticut Sun | 43 | -419 | 23.3% |
| # | Team | P | DIFF | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 43 | +296 | 74.4% |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries | 43 | +309 | 72.1% |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces | 43 | +231 | 69.8% |
| 4 | Dallas Wings | 43 | +170 | 60.5% |
| 5 | Portland Fire | 44 | -211 | 38.6% |
| 6 | Los Angeles Sparks | 43 | -187 | 37.2% |
| 7 | Phoenix Mercury | 43 | -124 | 37.2% |
| 8 | Seattle Storm | 43 | -285 | 18.6% |
Connecticut Sun