This is an FA Cup first qualifying round tie between Banbury United and Exmouth Town, with both clubs starting their cup journey. CheckLive's model has no clear favourite here, so there is no win probability to lean on — this one looks genuinely close, and a draw is a very real possibility.
Banbury come in off a mixed run of results: a 2-1 win over Racing Club Warwick, but losses to Anstey Nomads, Rushall Olympic and Real Bedford, plus a 1-1 draw with Stourbridge. Exmouth have been more consistent, winning three of their last five, including a 3-1 FA Cup win over Bridgwater Town, with their only recent defeat coming in a friendly against Truro City.
The two sides have no previous meetings, so there is no head-to-head form to separate them. With little between the teams on recent results, this could come down to who handles the cup-tie occasion better — and don't be surprised if it needs a replay.
