Who is the favourite in Atalanta vs Pafos FC?

In the CheckLive calculation Atalanta is the favourite: 56.7 + 5.8 for home advantage = 62.5 vs 57.8. Signal strength 56/100; it is not a win probability.

What is Atalanta's main edge?

Atalanta is strongest in overall quality: CheckSkill 55 vs 54.3 for Pafos FC. The overall rating gap is 4.7.

How does CheckLive rate the match?

The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.

What does Confidence mean?

Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.

What is the correct-score prediction?

CheckLive calculation: 3-2 (Atalanta vs Pafos FC, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.

Atalanta

15.10.2026 19:00

GOAL!3 - 1FT

Pafos FC

Player of the match

8.3Charles De KetelaereAtalanta · Forward4 shots · 4 key passes · 0.34 xG

Atalanta 3:1 Pafos FC — Match Report

First half3 - 0

Second half0 - 1

Bets and model

Before kick-off

All markets · both picks won

CHECKLIVE · WonOver 3.52.00

Public pick · WonAtalanta to win141 bets

Exact score · both picks lost

CHECKLIVE · Lost3 : 2expected score

Public pick · Lost1 : 012 bets

AICheckLive AI Bot

Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.

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H2H

Head to Head meetings

Atalanta – Pafos FC

Atalanta

Pafos FC

1
Victories
0
Draws
0
Victories

label	first team	second team
Victories	1	0
Scored goals	3	1
Average per game	3	1
The biggest victory	3-1	0

Form

Atalanta

5Matches
11Goals
2.2Goal per game
1Wins
2Draws
2Losses

date	first team	second team
29.10, 19:45
29.10, 19:45	Fiorentina	Atalanta
25.10, 14:00
25.10, 14:00	Atalanta	Frosinone
22.10, 19:00
22.10, 19:00	Ajax	Atalanta
18.10, 16:00
18.10, 16:00	Milan	Atalanta
15.10, 19:00
15.10, 19:00	Atalanta	Pafos FC

Pafos FC

5Matches
4Goals
0.8Goal per game
0Wins
4Draws
1Losses

date	first team	second team
31.10, 15:00
31.10, 15:00	Apollon Limassol	Pafos FC
26.10, 16:00
26.10, 16:00	Nea Salamina Famagusta	Pafos FC
22.10, 16:45
22.10, 16:45	Pafos FC	Riga FC
19.10, 15:00
19.10, 15:00	Pafos FC	APOEL Nicosia
15.10, 19:00
15.10, 19:00	Atalanta	Pafos FC

Standings

Atalanta – Pafos FC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GLS	PTS	Form
15	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	3:3	3	W L
27	Pafos FC	2	0	1	1	2:4	1	L D

#	Team	P	DIFF	PTS
15	Atalanta	2	0	3
27	Pafos FC	2	-2	1

Best statistical picks

Atalanta – Pafos FC

Atalanta opened the score in 5 of the last 7 matches
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Under 2.5
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 9.5

Odds

1	X	2
1.33	5.25	8.00

Questions & Answers

Match betting activity

Full time

$119.9K

Betting volume

1.7K

bets

Under 3.5 goals$26.4K132 bets
Over 3.5 goals$23.4K155 bets
Atalanta to win$18.9K217 bets