This is an FA Cup Qualification Round 1 tie between Aveley FC and Cheshunt FC, with a place in the next qualifying round at stake. CheckLive favours the home side Aveley, giving them a 79% win probability on a strong signal, though that still leaves plenty of room for an upset or a draw in a one-off cup match.
Aveley come in with three wins from their last five league games, beating Stanway Rovers 2-0, Three Bridges FC 5-1 and Whitehawk 3-2, but they also lost to Lewes 0-2 and Maldon & Tiptree FC 0-1. Cheshunt have drawn four of their last five, sharing points with St Albans City 1-1, AFC Whyteleafe 2-2, Burgess Hill Town 1-1 and Cray Wanderers 0-0, with their only defeat a 0-2 reverse at Dulwich Hamlet.
The head-to-head is finely balanced: from three previous meetings, each side has won once and the other game was a draw. The most recent meeting, though, went firmly Aveley's way, a 3-0 victory in the league. Cheshunt's habit of drawing tight games could make this a low-scoring contest, while Aveley's sharper recent finishing might be the difference.
