7.7Tolu ArokodareAjax · Forward1 goal · 1 shot · 0.21 xG7.7Tolu ArokodareAjax · Forward1 goal · 1 shot · 0.21 xGAjax 1:0 AZ Alkmaar — Match Report
First half1 - 0
- 26(Yellow card)
- 30(Yellow card)
- 44(Yellow card)
Second half0 - 0
CheckMomentum
Ajax
Match dominance
Ajaxeven
AZ
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · both picks won
CHECKLIVE · WonHome win — Ajax1.62
Public pick · WonAjax to win115 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost3 : 2expected score
Public pick · Lost3 : 05 bets
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchH2H
Head to Head meetings
Ajax – AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
- 5
Victories
- 4
Draws
- 10
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  5 | 10  |
Scored goals | 18 | 28 |
Average per game | 0.95 | 1.47 |
The biggest victory | 3-0 | 0-6 |
Form
Ajax
- 5Matches
- 11Goals
- 2.2Goal per game
- 4Wins
- 0Draws
- 1Losses
AZ Alkmaar
- 5Matches
- 8Goals
- 1.6Goal per game
- 2Wins
- 1Draws
- 2Losses
Standings
Ajax – AZ Alkmaar
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 4.50 | 3.90 |
Questions & Answers
Who bet on what before the match
Public11.90
Money11.90
Pros—no bets
Timeline
- 49′
Public and money — on Ajax
Public11.43 → 1.01Money11.43 → 1.01Pros—no bets - 45′
More bets on AZ Alkmaar, but more money on Ajax
Public210.00Money11.47 → 1.43Pros—no bets - 41′
Public and money — on Ajax
Public11.49 → 1.47Money11.49 → 1.47Pros—no bets - 25′
More bets on the draw, but more money on Ajax
PublicX4.00Money11.43 → 1.49Pros—no bets - 10′
Goal — Ajax1:0
Pros and big bets
Public1,044Big bets4Pros0
54′BigbetU 2.51.28$6K+25%
Before kick-off
31 Oct19:00BigbetX22.08$14K−100%
31 Oct19:00Bigbet11.89$12.5K+86%
31 Oct18:56BigbetU 3.51.82$4.3K+79%
ROI · CheckLive model
Match betting activity
$131.1K
Betting volume1K
bets- Ajax to win$48.3K263 bets
- Double chance: X2$33.4K95 bets
- Under 2.5 goals$9.3K48 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
Bets and money by outcome
Number of betsMoney staked
1X2
76%13%11%
98%1%1%
U 2.5O 2.5
62%38%
70%30%
1X12X2
26%12%62%
15%1%84%
There is no enough info about formation in this moment. Checklive again later
◆ CheckLive verdict
Clear favorite — Ajax
Ajax is the favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 63.2 + 5.8 for home advantage = 69 vs 60.5 for AZ Alkmaar. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 77.4 vs 73.2). CheckLive signal strength 62/100.
Home win — Ajax1.75
High confidence62%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
61.1
58.5
CheckSkill
58.6
56.5
CheckMental
77.4
73.2
CheckLive total69 vs 60.5+8.5Ajax: 63.2 + 5.8 for home advantage = 69
More match signals
Ajax or draw69%1.25
Both teams to score — Yes65%1.44
Over 2.562%1.40
Today's market odds.
All both teams to score predictions →Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · both picks won
CHECKLIVE · WonHome win — Ajax1.62
Public pick · WonAjax to win115 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost3 : 2expected score
Public pick · Lost3 : 05 bets
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?
In the CheckLive calculation Ajax is the favourite: 63.2 + 5.8 for home advantage = 69 vs 60.5. Signal strength 62/100; it is not a win probability.
What is Ajax's main edge?
Ajax is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 77.4 vs 73.2 for AZ Alkmaar. The overall rating gap is 8.5.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 3-2 (Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 4.50 | 3.90 |