Paderborn won 3-1 at home against Hoffenheim, and they did it with the ball spending most of the afternoon somewhere else. Hoffenheim had 66% possession and 22 shots, yet finished the day beaten. Outplayed for long spells, Paderborn simply took their chances.
8.0Santiago CastanedaSC Paderborn 07 · Midfielder1 goal · 2 shotsSC Paderborn 07 3:1 TSG Hoffenheim — Match Report
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORTFirst half2 - 0
- 29
- 45(Yellow card)
Second half1 - 1
- 63J. Sticker
- 69(J. Sticker)
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchLive Prediction
TSG Hoffenheim to winLost3.20
CheckLive AI™ · Full-timeBETA
FT3–1S
+25.9Dominant
T
TSG Hoffenheim to win
LostQuestions & Answers
What was the final score of SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim?
SC Paderborn 07 3-1 TSG Hoffenheim (Bundesliga).
Who scored?
Santiago Castaneda (29') for SC Paderborn 07; Stefano Marino (42', assist Laurin Curda) for SC Paderborn 07; Adam Daghim (50', assist Max Moerstedt) for TSG Hoffenheim; Steffen Tigges (69', assist Jonah Sticker) for SC Paderborn 07.
Was SC Paderborn 07's win deserved?
Yes — SC Paderborn 07 were on top for most of the match.
Were there any cards in SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Yellow cards: Wouter Burger (TSG Hoffenheim).
Head to Head meetings
SC Paderborn 07 – TSG Hoffenheim
SC Paderborn 07
TSG Hoffenheim
- 1
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  1 | 0  |
Scored goals | 3 | 1 |
Average per game | 3 | 1 |
The biggest victory | 3-1 | 0 |
SC Paderborn 07
TSG Hoffenheim
Best statistical picks
SC Paderborn 07 – TSG Hoffenheim
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim opened the score in 5 of the last 6 matches
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 4.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.00 | 4.50 | 1.70 |
Match betting activity
$398.6K
Betting volume2.5K
bets- SC Paderborn 07 to winWon · 13.6% of bets$77K335 bets
- Double chance: 1XWon · 8.4% of bets$66.6K207 bets
- TSG Hoffenheim to winLost · 10.5% of bets$35.3K259 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
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◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07 is a slight favourite on CheckLive metrics: overall rating 58.2 vs 57.7 for TSG Hoffenheim. The biggest edge is in overall quality (CheckSkill 53.8 vs 52.8); CheckLive signal strength 59%.
Over 3.51.80
Medium confidence59%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
57.8
57.4
CheckSkill
53.8
52.8
CheckMental
69
69
CheckLive total58.2 vs 57.7+0.5
More match signals
Over 4.571%3.00
Both teams to score — Yes69%1.40
Home win — SC Paderborn 0757%4.00
Today's market odds.
All both teams to score predictions →Bets and model
Full matchAll markets · both picks won
CHECKLIVE · WonOver 3.52.10
Betting pick · WonSC Paderborn 07 to win14% of bets · $77K
Exact score · only the betting pick won
CHECKLIVE · Lost3 : 2expected score
Betting pick · Won3 : 118% of bets · $529
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim?
On CheckLive metrics the favourite is SC Paderborn 07: overall rating 58.2 vs 57.7, CheckLive signal strength 59%.
What is SC Paderborn 07's main edge?
SC Paderborn 07 is strongest in overall quality: CheckSkill 53.8 vs 52.8 for TSG Hoffenheim. The overall rating gap is 0.5.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 3-2 (SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.00 | 4.50 | 1.70 |