7.8Adrian KaprálikHolstein Kiel · Forward1 goal · 2 shots · 1 key pass7.8Adrian KaprálikHolstein Kiel · Forward1 goal · 2 shots · 1 key passHolstein Kiel vs TSG Hoffenheim
First half1 - 1
- 11
- 22VAR review (T. Lemperle)
- 41(Foul)
- 42(Foul)
- 45 + 7(Foul)
Second half0 - 0
- 68(Foul)
ET0 - 0
- 103
- 106(Foul)
- 105 + 2(Foul)
- 115
- 117(Dissent)
Added time4 - 3
- (Dissent)
- (Dissent)
Penalty shoot-out4 - 3
- 0 - 0G. Kvilitaia
- 0 - 1A. Kramarić
- 1 - 1I. Nekić
- 1 - 2F. Asllani
- 2 - 2G. Balzi
- 2 - 2L. Avdullahu
- 3 - 2G. de Regt
- 3 - 3A. Prass
CheckMomentum
Holstein Kiel
Match dominance
Holstein Kieleven
TSG Hoffenheim
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · LostOver 3.51.80
Public pick · LostOver 3.5 goals36 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost2 : 3expected score
Public pick · Lost1 : 41 bet
Google AIAICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchH2H
Head to Head meetings
Holstein Kiel – TSG Hoffenheim
Holstein Kiel
TSG Hoffenheim
- 1
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 4
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  1 | 4  |
Scored goals | 6 | 15 |
Average per game | 1.2 | 3 |
The biggest victory | 1-1 | 1-5 |
Form
Holstein Kiel
- 5Matches
- 5Goals
- 1Goal per game
- 2Wins
- 1Draws
- 2Losses
TSG Hoffenheim
- 5Matches
- 7Goals
- 1.4Goal per game
- 2Wins
- 1Draws
- 2Losses
Best statistical picks
Holstein Kiel – TSG Hoffenheim
Recent form favours TSG Hoffenheim to win
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.25 | 4.50 | 1.48 |
Questions & Answers
Who bet on what before the match
Public21.51
MoneyO 3.51.96
Pros—no bets
Timeline
- 120′
Public and money — on TSG Hoffenheim
Public2Money2Pros—no bets - 105′
Public and money — on the draw
PublicXMoneyXPros—no bets - 28′
Public and money — on TSG Hoffenheim
Public21.61Money21.61Pros—no bets - 22′
Goal — Holstein Kiel1:1
- 11′
Goal — TSG Hoffenheim0:1
Pros and big bets
Public868Big bets3Pros0
64′Bigbet1X1.28$7K+26%
Before kick-off
28 Oct15:53BigbetU 3.52.08$3.1K+102%
28 Oct15:53BigbetO 3.51.96$13K−100%
ROI · CheckLive model
Match betting activity
$73.6K
Betting volume868
bets- Over 3.5 goals$15.6K41 bets
- Double chance: 1X$13.7K122 bets
- Under 3.5 goals$9.8K62 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
Bets and money by outcome
Number of betsMoney staked
1X2
19%26%55%
12%36%52%
U 2.5O 2.5
51%49%
59%41%
O 3.5U 3.5
40%60%
61%39%
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim is a slight favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 52 vs 48.5 for Holstein Kiel. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 56.7 vs 28.6). CheckLive signal strength 55/100.
Over 3.51.80
Medium confidence68%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
38
51.4
CheckSkill
52.7
50.4
CheckMental
28.6
56.7
CheckLive total48.5 vs 52+3.5
More match signals
Both teams to score — Yes66%1.44
Over 4.564%2.75
Away win — TSG Hoffenheim57%1.48
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · LostOver 3.51.80
Public pick · LostOver 3.5 goals36 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost2 : 3expected score
Public pick · Lost1 : 41 bet
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Holstein Kiel vs TSG Hoffenheim?
In the CheckLive calculation TSG Hoffenheim is the favourite: 52 vs 48.5. Signal strength 55/100; it is not a win probability.
What is TSG Hoffenheim's main edge?
TSG Hoffenheim is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 56.7 vs 28.6 for Holstein Kiel. The overall rating gap is 3.5.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 2-3 (Holstein Kiel vs TSG Hoffenheim, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.25 | 4.50 | 1.48 |