This is an FA Cup Qualification Round 1 tie, with a place in the next qualifying round at stake. CheckLive favour Workington, giving them a 67% win probability with a strong signal, but that still leaves a clear opening for Marske United — a draw is very much in the picture.
Workington come in off four wins from their last five in the Northern Premier League, beating Lancaster City 3-0, Leek Town 3-2, Warrington Rylands 3-2 and FC United of Manchester 2-1, with the only defeat a 1-4 reverse at Avro. Marske United's recent form is a mix of competitions: they beat Whitley Bay 1-0, lost 0-3 to Bishop Auckland, won 2-1 at Consett in the FA Cup, beat Seaham Red Star 2-1 in the FA Vase, and drew 0-0 with Yarm And Eaglescliffe.
The sides have met once before, with Marske United winning 3-0 in the Northern Premier League in October 2023. Workington's scoring run is the obvious threat, but cup ties can turn on one lapse, and the visitors have already shown they can win in this competition this season. It looks tight enough that a draw would not be a surprise.
