Birmingham City host Wolverhampton in a Championship meeting, with CheckLive favouring the home side. The model gives Birmingham a 62% win probability and the signal is strong, though a draw remains a real possibility in a division where results have been tight.
Birmingham come into this one with one win in their last five: a 2-1 victory over Wrexham, plus draws with Southampton, Bristol City and Sheffield United, and a heavy EFL Cup defeat at Brentford. Wolverhampton have three wins in five, beating Stoke City, Sheffield Wednesday and Preston North End, either side of a loss to West Ham United and a draw with Blackburn Rovers.
There are no previous meetings between the sides on record, so recent league form is the main guide. Birmingham have been hard to beat but draw-heavy, while Wolves carry more forward momentum; that makes the 62% favourite far from a certainty.
