This Championship meeting sees West Ham United host Derby County, with CheckLive's data favouring the home side at a 64% win probability on a strong signal. That still leaves plenty of room for a draw or an away result, so the two points are genuinely up for grabs.
West Ham's recent form includes a 1-1 draw with Watford, a 4-1 win over Southampton in the EFL Cup, a 1-2 loss at Charlton Athletic, a 2-2 draw with Burnley and a 3-1 win over Portsmouth. Derby have lost 0-3 at Swansea City, drawn 2-2 with Cardiff City, lost 1-2 to Charlton Athletic, been beaten 1-2 by Lincoln City in the EFL Cup, and drawn 1-1 with Rotherham United in a friendly.
The only previous meeting between these sides was an FA Cup tie in January 2023, which West Ham won 2-0. CheckLive's model likes West Ham's chances, but Derby have picked up draws in two of their last four outings, so a share of the points is a real possibility.
