Who will win between Athletico and Vila Nova?

Athletico are favored to win, given their advantage in form and mental composure. CheckLive's analysis points to a 66% win probability for the hosts. However, Vila Nova's earlier victory shows they can compete, so the match is not a foregone conclusion. Expect a tight game where Athletico's promotion motivation could be the deciding factor.

Who has better form heading into this match?

Athletico hold the better form with a rating of 43.4 compared to Vila Nova's 37. The hosts have won three of their last five at home, while the visitors had a four-match winless run before their last win. Athletico also have the promotion incentive driving their performances.

Will both teams score in Athletico vs Vila Nova?

Both teams have scored in Athletico's last three home games and in three of Vila Nova's last five away. With both sides possessing attacking threats and defensive vulnerabilities, BTTS is a plausible outcome, though Athletico's solid home record might keep a clean sheet possible. Vila Nova have shown they can score away, having netted in their win at Athletico earlier this season.

Athletico

21.09.2025 22:00

GOAL!2 - 0FT

Vila Nova

Athletico 2:0 Vila Nova — Match Report

First half1 - 0

10
J. Pedro
(Foul)
16
Renan
(G. Benavidez)
37
I. Henrique
(Foul)

Second half1 - 0

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H2H

Head to Head meetings

Athletico – Vila Nova

Athletico

Vila Nova

1
Victories
0
Draws
1
Victories

label	first team	second team
Victories	1	1
Scored goals	3	2
Average per game	1.5	1
The biggest victory	2-0	1-2

Form

Athletico

5Matches
12Goals
2.4Goal per game
3Wins
1Draws
1Losses

date	first team	second team
27.10, 18:00
27.10, 18:00	Athletico	Londrina
24.10, 19:30
24.10, 19:30	Vitória	Athletico
18.10, 18:30
18.10, 18:30	Londrina	Athletico
17.10, 22:30
17.10, 22:30	Athletico	Palmeiras
12.10, 22:30
12.10, 22:30	Chapecoense	Athletico

Vila Nova

5Matches
7Goals
1.4Goal per game
2Wins
2Draws
1Losses

date	first team	second team
24.10, 19:30
24.10, 19:30	São Bernardo	Vila Nova
18.10, 21:00
18.10, 21:00	Vila Nova	Novorizontino
11.10, 20:30
11.10, 20:30	Náutico	Vila Nova
07.10, 23:30
07.10, 23:30	Vila Nova	Cuiabá
03.10, 21:30
03.10, 21:30	Botafogo-SP	Vila Nova