8.1Juan Cruz PolicellaVélez Sarsfield · Midfielder1 goal · 3 shots · 2 key passes · 0.37 xG8.1Juan Cruz PolicellaVélez Sarsfield · Midfielder1 goal · 3 shots · 2 key passes · 0.37 xGVélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo
First half2 - 1
- 2J. Cruz Policella(Yellow card)
- 22J. Cruz Policella
- 28Goal confirmed (M. Pellegrini)
- 35(Yellow card)
- 45(Yellow card)
- 45 + 1
Second half0 - 1
- 46Ó. Nahuel Arias
- 55Goal cancelled (M. Lanzini)
- 55(Yellow card)
- 70(Yellow card)
- 81
- 83(Yellow card)
- 83(Yellow card)
- 84J. Cruz Policella
- 84(Yellow card)
- 89S. Escobar
- 89Á. Zahir Verón
- 90 + 2(Yellow card)
CheckMomentum
Vélez Sarsfield
Match dominance
Vélez Sarsfieldeven
San Lorenzo
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · LostHome win — Vélez Sarsfield1.91
Public pick · LostVélez Sarsfield to win40 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost1 : 0expected score
Public pick · Lost2 : 11 bet
Google AIAICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchH2H
Head to Head meetings
Vélez Sarsfield – San Lorenzo
Vélez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
- 3
Victories
- 4
Draws
- 2
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  3 | 2  |
Scored goals | 8 | 6 |
Average per game | 0.89 | 0.67 |
The biggest victory | 3-1 | 0-1 |
Form
Vélez Sarsfield
- 5Matches
- 8Goals
- 1.6Goal per game
- 2Wins
- 1Draws
- 2Losses
San Lorenzo
- 5Matches
- 5Goals
- 1Goal per game
- 2Wins
- 2Draws
- 1Losses
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91 | 3.10 | 4.50 |
Questions & Answers
Who bet on what before the match
Public12.00
Money12.00
Pros—no bets
Timeline
- 87′
Public and money — on the draw
PublicX1.43 → 1.03MoneyX1.43 → 1.03Pros—no bets - 84′
More bets on Vélez Sarsfield, but more money on the draw
Public14.55 → 5.26MoneyX1.47 → 1.43Pros—no bets - 81′
Goal — San Lorenzo2:2
- 57′
Public and money — on Vélez Sarsfield
Public11.12 → 2.17Money11.12 → 2.17Pros—no bets - 46′
Public and money — on San Lorenzo
Public227.36 → 30.30Money227.36 → 30.30Pros—no bets - 46′
Goal — San Lorenzo2:1
- 45′
More bets on Vélez Sarsfield, but more money on San Lorenzo
Public11.22 → 1.05Money227.03 → 90.91Pros—no bets - 25′
Goal — Vélez Sarsfield2:0
- 23′
Goal — Vélez Sarsfield1:0
Pros and big bets
Public1,621Big bets4Pros0
2′BigbetX22.13$6.5K+108%
2′Bigbet12.04$9K−100%
Before kick-off
31 Oct22:15Bigbet1X1.30$23.5K+28%
31 Oct20:49Bigbet12.00$14.5K−100%
ROI · CheckLive model
Match betting activity
$129.5K
Betting volume1.6K
bets- Double chance: 1X$36.7K157 bets
- Vélez Sarsfield to win$35.7K231 bets
- Double chance: X2$17.8K217 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
Bets and money by outcome
Number of betsMoney staked
1X2
45%25%30%
78%11%11%
U 2.5O 2.5
75%25%
39%61%
1X12X2
33%22%45%
64%5%31%
◆ CheckLive verdict
Clear favorite — Vélez Sarsfield
Vélez Sarsfield is a strong favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 62.8 vs 38.5 for San Lorenzo. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 64.8 vs 26.6). CheckLive signal strength 80/100.
Home win — Vélez Sarsfield1.91
High confidence92%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
53.9
35.1
CheckSkill
55.9
46.5
CheckMental
64.8
26.6
CheckLive total62.8 vs 38.5+24.3
More match signals
Under 2.592%1.60
Vélez Sarsfield (DNB)91%1.36
Vélez Sarsfield (−1)95%
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · LostHome win — Vélez Sarsfield1.91
Public pick · LostVélez Sarsfield to win40 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost1 : 0expected score
Public pick · Lost2 : 11 bet
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?
In the CheckLive calculation Vélez Sarsfield is the favourite: 62.8 vs 38.5. Signal strength 80/100; it is not a win probability.
What is Vélez Sarsfield's main edge?
Vélez Sarsfield is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 64.8 vs 26.6 for San Lorenzo. The overall rating gap is 24.3.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 1-0 (Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91 | 3.10 | 4.50 |