CS Universitatea Craiova host FC Universitatea Cluj in a Liga I meeting. CheckLive favour the home side, giving them an 80% win probability on a high-confidence signal. It is a strong projection, but not a formality: a draw is a real possible outcome.
Craiova's past five results include a 2-1 win over FC Bacău in the cup, a 1-1 draw with FC Rapid București, a 0-1 Europa League loss to FC Ararat-Armenia, a 3-1 win over FC Voluntari and a 1-1 draw with FC Ararat-Armenia. Cluj have a 1-0 cup win over FC Petrolul Ploieşti, a 2-3 league defeat to the same side, a 1-2 loss to FC Dinamo București, and 2-1 wins over UTA Arad and FC Botoșani.
The head-to-head favours the hosts: five wins, one draw and two defeats in eight meetings, the most recent a 6-4 Craiova win in the Super Cup. Cluj have beaten Craiova before, and their recent league wins over UTA Arad and FC Botoșani both came by a 2-1 scoreline. With CheckLive's model so heavily on the home side, the key thing to watch is whether Cluj can make their chances count; based on the history, a draw should not be dismissed.
