Who will win the match between Arouca and Tondela?

Arouca are the clear favourites according to CheckLive's analysis, with a 73% likelihood of victory. Their superior form and mental edge over a Tondela side fighting relegation tip the balance. However, the H2H record adds a note of caution.

Which team has better form coming into this game?

Arouca hold the better form rating at 48.1 versus Tondela's 35.5, reflecting more consistent results. While Tondela are unbeaten in three matches, their overall season form is weaker. Arouca's home advantage further strengthens their case as the form side.

Will both teams score in this match?

Both teams scored in three of the last four H2H meetings, suggesting goals at both ends are likely. Arouca have kept two clean sheets in five, while Tondela failed to score twice in that period, making BTTS a plausible but not guaranteed outcome.

Arouca

16.05.2026 17:00

GOAL!3 - 1FT

Tondela

Arouca 3:1 Tondela — Match Report

First half1 - 0

20
T. Fukui
39
O. Fayed
(Foul)
41
B. Kuipers
(Foul)
41
Clebinho
(Dissent)

Second half2 - 1

Standings

Arouca – Tondela

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GLS	PTS	Form
5	Arouca	8	4	2	2	11:7	14	D L D W

#	Team	P	DIFF	PTS
5	Arouca	8	+4	14

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Total

$531.7K

Betting volume

7.3K

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Head to Head meetings

Arouca – Tondela

Arouca

Tondela

2
Victories
1
Draws
2
Victories

label	first team	second team
Victories	2	2
Scored goals	8	8
Average per game	1.6	1.6
The biggest victory	3-1	1-3

Arouca

5Matches
8Goals
1.6Goal per game
2Wins
2Draws
1Losses

date	first team	second team
18.10, 18:45
18.10, 18:45	C.F. Os Belenenses	Arouca
11.10, 19:30
11.10, 19:30	Arouca	CF Estrela Amadora
19.09, 19:30
19.09, 19:30	Sporting	Arouca
13.09, 17:00
13.09, 17:00	Arouca	Santa Clara
07.09, 19:15
07.09, 19:15	Estoril Praia	Arouca

Tondela

5Matches
13Goals
2.6Goal per game
5Wins
0Draws
0Losses

date	first team	second team
18.10, 14:00
18.10, 14:00	Tondela	FC Alverca
10.10, 10:00
10.10, 10:00	Tondela	Torreense
19.09, 10:00
19.09, 10:00	Imortal DC	Tondela
12.09, 10:00
12.09, 10:00	Portimonense	Tondela
05.09, 10:00
05.09, 10:00	Tondela	Porto B