Santos Laguna went to Toluca and came away with a 3-2 win, and they did it the hard way. Toluca created more and threatened more, but Santos took what came their way and held on.
8.8Alexis VegaToluca · Midfielder1 shot · 7 key passesToluca 2:3 Santos Laguna — Match Report
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORTFirst half2 - 1
- 38(Yellow card)
- 45F. Villalba
- 45E. Echeverria
- 45 + 1
- 45 + 4A. Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich(Yellow card)
- 45 + 7Card upgrade confirmed (E. López)
- 45 + 7(Red card)
- 45 + 8(Yellow card)
Second half0 - 2
- 66J. Angulo
- 86(F. Villalba)
- 90 + 3Goal cancelled (E. Aguirre)
- 90 + 5F. Villalba
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchLive Prediction
Toluca to winLost1.05
CheckLive AI™ · Full-timeBETA
FT2–3T
+19.4Dominant
S
Toluca to win
LostQuestions & Answers
Who will win, Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
CheckLive's model makes Toluca the favourite. Model signal strength is 81/100; this is not a win probability.
What is the predicted score?
CheckLive's model projects Toluca 4:0 Santos Laguna.
When is Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
Kick-off Monday 21 September at 01:00 UK time, in the Primera Division, Apertura.
Standings
Toluca – Santos Laguna
Head to Head meetings
Toluca – Santos Laguna
Toluca
Santos Laguna
- 11
Victories
- 2
Draws
- 7
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  11 | 7  |
Scored goals | 40 | 34 |
Average per game | 2 | 1.7 |
The biggest victory | 5-0 | 0-4 |
Toluca
- 5Matches
- 7Goals
- 1.4Goal per game
- 0Wins
- 2Draws
- 3Losses
Santos Laguna
- 5Matches
- 13Goals
- 2.6Goal per game
- 5Wins
- 0Draws
- 0Losses
Best statistical picks
Toluca – Santos Laguna
Recent form favours Toluca to win
1X hasn't lost in 9 of the last matches
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 11.5
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 4.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | 7.00 | 10.00 |
Match betting activity
$433.8K
Betting volume3.9K
bets- Under 3.5 goalsLost · 3.4% of bets$57.2K135 bets
- Toluca to winLost · 9.5% of bets$56.2K372 bets
- Santos Laguna to winWon · 11.4% of bets$47.3K449 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
There is no enough info about formation in this moment. Checklive again later
◆ CheckLive verdict
Clear favorite — Toluca
Toluca is a strong favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 60.9 + 5.8 for home advantage = 66.7 vs 40.9 for Santos Laguna. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 75.4 vs 28.6). CheckLive signal strength 81/100.
Home win — Toluca1.19
High confidence81%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
58.8
37.6
CheckSkill
56.1
49
CheckMental
75.4
28.6
CheckLive total66.7 vs 40.9+25.8Toluca: 60.9 + 5.8 for home advantage = 66.7
More match signals
Toluca (DNB)92%1.08
Over 3.585%1.80
Toluca (−1)95%
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · Awaiting result
CHECKLIVE · LostHome win — Toluca1.22
Public pick · PendingOver 3.5 goals143 bets
Exact score · Awaiting result
CHECKLIVE · Lost4 : 0expected score
Public pick · Pending3 : 012 bets
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
In the CheckLive calculation Toluca is the favourite: 60.9 + 5.8 for home advantage = 66.7 vs 40.9. Signal strength 81/100; it is not a win probability.
What is Toluca's main edge?
Toluca is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 75.4 vs 28.6 for Santos Laguna. The overall rating gap is 25.8.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 4-0 (Toluca vs Santos Laguna, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | 7.00 | 10.00 |