9.1HelinhoToluca · Midfielder1 goal · 3 shots · 8 key passes · 0.33 xG9.1HelinhoToluca · Midfielder1 goal · 3 shots · 8 key passes · 0.33 xGToluca 2:2 Club Tijuana — Match Report
First half0 - 1
- 38(Y. Padilla)
- 45J. Angulo
Second half2 - 1
- 57M. El Ghezouani
- 75Y. Padilla
- 82J. Gomez
- 82Y. Padilla
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · only the betting pick won
CHECKLIVE · LostHome win — Toluca1.22
Public pick · WonClub Tijuana handicap +1.5149 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost2 : 1expected score
Public pick · Lost0 : 111 bets
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchH2H
Head to Head meetings
Toluca – Club Tijuana
Toluca
Club Tijuana
- 10
Victories
- 4
Draws
- 7
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  10 | 7  |
Scored goals | 37 | 27 |
Average per game | 1.76 | 1.29 |
The biggest victory | 4-0 | 0-3 |
Form
Toluca
- 5Matches
- 8Goals
- 1.6Goal per game
- 0Wins
- 4Draws
- 1Losses
Club Tijuana
- 5Matches
- 10Goals
- 2Goal per game
- 1Wins
- 4Draws
- 0Losses
Standings
Toluca – Club Tijuana
Best statistical picks
Toluca – Club Tijuana
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 5 matches
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 4.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.17 | 7.00 | 11.00 |
Questions & Answers
Match betting activity
$322.7K
Betting volume4.4K
bets- Club Tijuana handicap +2.5$40.8K186 bets
- Toluca to win$31.1K441 bets
- Under 4.5 goals$25.4K307 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
◆ CheckLive verdict
Clear favorite — Toluca
Toluca is a strong favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 59.1 + 5.8 for home advantage = 64.9 vs 46.9 for Club Tijuana. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 69 vs 39.1). CheckLive signal strength 73/100.
Both teams to score — Yes1.75
Medium confidence77%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
57.4
42.5
CheckSkill
56
53.8
CheckMental
69
39.1
CheckLive total64.9 vs 46.9+18.0
More match signals
Home win — Toluca87%1.17
Toluca (DNB)86%1.06
Over 2.584%1.29
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · only the betting pick won
CHECKLIVE · LostHome win — Toluca1.22
Public pick · WonClub Tijuana handicap +1.5149 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost2 : 1expected score
Public pick · Lost0 : 111 bets
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
In the CheckLive calculation Toluca is the favourite: 59.1 + 5.8 for home advantage = 64.9 vs 46.9. Signal strength 73/100; it is not a win probability.
What is Toluca's main edge?
Toluca is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 69 vs 39.1 for Club Tijuana. The overall rating gap is 18.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 2-1 (Toluca vs Club Tijuana, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.17 | 7.00 | 11.00 |