This is a Superliga meeting between two sides in contrasting recent shape, and the numbers say it is close. CheckLive's model favours Talleres, but only narrowly — they are given a 52% win probability, with a low signal behind that read.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza have won three of their last five: 2-0 over Unión, 1-0 against Central Córdoba and 2-1 versus Defensa y Justicia, with 0-1 losses to Instituto Córdoba and San Lorenzo. Talleres have lost four of their last five — 0-3 at Lanús, 1-3 against Vélez Sarsfield, 0-1 at Newell's Old Boys and 0-3 to Atlético Tucumán in the Copa Argentina — with a single 4-0 win over Platense.
The sides have met only once before, and that game went Talleres' way, 2-1 in the Superliga in February 2026. With such a narrow favourite and very little head-to-head history, a draw is a genuine possibility. The key is whether Gimnasia can carry their recent momentum into a match where Talleres will be desperate to stop their slide.
