This is a Bundesliga meeting between SV 07 Elversberg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, and CheckLive's model does not single out a favourite. Without a clear win-probability signal, it looks a close one on paper. Both teams arrive with plenty of recent wins behind them.
Elversberg have won four of their last five, beating MSV Duisburg 3-1 in the DFB Pokal and friendlies against Lorient, Strasbourg and NEC Nijmegen, with a 1-1 draw at Mallorca. Leverkusen have also won four of five, including a 4-0 cup win at SV Wehen Wiesbaden and victories over Newcastle United and Sevilla; their only setback was a 1-2 friendly reverse to Nottingham Forest.
The head-to-head is evenly balanced, with one win apiece from two meetings. The most recent came in October 2024 in the DFB Pokal, when Leverkusen won 3-0. With CheckLive seeing no clear favourite and both sides in similar form, a draw would be no surprise.
