Who is the favourite in Südtirol vs Cesena?

In the CheckLive calculation Südtirol is the favourite: 43.3 + 5.8 for home advantage = 49.1 vs 41.8. Signal strength 60/100; it is not a win probability.

What is Südtirol's main edge?

Südtirol is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 30.2 vs 26.6 for Cesena. The overall rating gap is 7.3.

How does CheckLive rate the match?

The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.

What does Confidence mean?

Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.

What is the correct-score prediction?

CheckLive calculation: 1-0 (Südtirol vs Cesena, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.

Südtirol

31.10.2026 14:00

GOAL!1 - 1FT

Cesena

Player of the match

6.5Cristian ShpendiCesena · Forward1 goal

Südtirol 1:1 Cesena — Match Report

First half1 - 0

Second half0 - 1

49
M. Mangraviti
(Yellow card)
59
D. Bisoli
M. Guidi
59
M. Daniel Caprini
A. Fiori
63
A. Vasic
V. Lopes
63
K. Zeroli
R. Burnete
65
C. Shpendi
(D. Bisoli)
69
G. Frabotta
(Yellow card)
70
D. Veroli
G. Stabile
72
L. D'Andrea
X. Druiventak
72
J. Gelli
M. Mangraviti
80
A. Okoro
K. Mixtur
83
M. Francesconi
E. Bohinen
86
M. Ilic
(Yellow card)
90 + 3
M. Francesconi
(Yellow card)

Bets and model

Before kick-off

All markets · only the betting pick won

CHECKLIVE · LostHome win — Südtirol2.20

Public pick · WonDraw36 bets

Exact score · both picks lost

CHECKLIVE · Lost1 : 0expected score

Public pick · Lost4 : 42 bets

AICheckLive AI Bot

Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.

Ask the AI bot about this match

H2H

Head to Head meetings

Südtirol – Cesena

Südtirol

Cesena

0
Victories
3
Draws
2
Victories

label	first team	second team
Victories	0	2
Scored goals	3	5
Average per game	0.6	1
The biggest victory	0	0-1

Form

Südtirol

5Matches
2Goals
0.4Goal per game
0Wins
3Draws
2Losses

date	first team	second team
31.10, 14:00
31.10, 14:00	Südtirol	Cesena
27.10, 19:00
27.10, 19:00	Padova	Südtirol
24.10, 13:00
24.10, 13:00	Südtirol	Sampdoria
18.10, 13:00
18.10, 13:00	Juve Stabia	Südtirol
10.10, 13:00
10.10, 13:00	Südtirol	Ascoli

Cesena

5Matches
4Goals
0.8Goal per game
1Wins
2Draws
2Losses

date	first team	second team
31.10, 14:00
31.10, 14:00	Südtirol	Cesena
27.10, 19:00
27.10, 19:00	Cesena	Empoli
24.10, 13:00
24.10, 13:00	Modena	Cesena
18.10, 15:15
18.10, 15:15	Cesena	Avellino
10.10, 13:00
10.10, 13:00	Benevento	Cesena

Standings

Südtirol – Cesena

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GLS	PTS	Form
9	Südtirol	10	3	5	2	11:10	14	L D L D
12	Cesena	10	2	6	2	11:14	12	D L W D

#	Team	P	DIFF	PTS
9	Südtirol	10	+1	14
12	Cesena	10	-3	12

Odds

1	X	2
2.35	3.10	3.00

Questions & Answers

Who bet on what before the match

PublicX3.22

MoneyX3.22

Pros—no bets

Timeline

84′
Public and money — on the draw
PublicX1.39 → 1.06
MoneyX1.39 → 1.06
Pros—no bets
76′
More bets on the draw, but more money on Südtirol
PublicX1.69 → 1.39
Money15.88
Pros—no bets
66′
Goal — Cesena1:1
23′
Goal — Südtirol1:0

Match betting activity

Full time

$17.6K

Betting volume

329

bets

Draw$5K75 bets
Double chance: 1X$3.3K63 bets
Südtirol handicap +1.5$2.3K4 bets

Bets and money by outcome

Number of betsMoney staked

1X2

21%75%4%

8%91%1%

U 2.5O 2.5

48%52%

64%36%

1X12X2

62%6%32%

66%1%33%