Slovenia came from behind to beat Scotland 2-1, turning the game around in a 15-minute spell after the break. Scotland led at half-time and had the better of the expected goals, but it was the visitors who found the two moments that mattered.
Scotland vs Slovenia
First half1 - 0
- 30(Foul)
- 44(Foul)
Second half0 - 2
- 54(Foul)
- 68(Foul)
- 85(Foul)
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · LostHome win — Scotland1.80
Public pick · LostScotland to win477 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost3 : 1expected score
Public pick · Lost1 : 124 bets
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORT
Google AIAICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchH2H
Head to Head meetings
Scotland – Slovenia
Scotland
Slovenia
- 0
Victories
- 1
Draws
- 1
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 1  |
Scored goals | 1 | 2 |
Average per game | 0.5 | 1 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 1-2 |
Form
Scotland
- 5Matches
- 3Goals
- 0.6Goal per game
- 1Wins
- 1Draws
- 3Losses
Slovenia
- 5Matches
- 6Goals
- 1.2Goal per game
- 2Wins
- 1Draws
- 2Losses
Best statistical picks
Scotland – Slovenia
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 4.5
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 9.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.75 |
Questions & Answers
Questions & Answers
What was the final score of Scotland vs Slovenia?
Scotland 1-2 Slovenia (UEFA Nations League).
Who scored?
Ryan Christie (31', assist Oliver McBurnie) for Scotland; Aljoša Matko (56', assist Danijel Šturm) for Slovenia; Danijel Šturm (71', assist Aljoša Matko) for Slovenia.
Was Slovenia's win deserved?
Not really — the opponent was the better side; Slovenia won on finishing.
Were there any cards in Scotland vs Slovenia?
Yellow cards: Erik Janža (Slovenia); John McGinn (Scotland); David Zec (Slovenia); Luis Binks (Scotland); Mark Zabukovnik (Slovenia).
Match betting activity
$358.4K
Betting volume3.3K
bets- Scotland to win$85.1K611 bets
- Double chance: X2$56.1K244 bets
- Slovenia to win$34.7K385 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
◆ CheckLive verdict
Clear favorite — Scotland
Scotland is a strong favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 62.2 vs 41.5 for Slovenia. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 63.9 vs 30.2). CheckLive signal strength 76/100.
Home win — Scotland1.80
High confidence90%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
54.6
36.7
CheckSkill
54.4
50.2
CheckMental
63.9
30.2
CheckLive total62.2 vs 41.5+20.7
More match signals
Scotland (DNB)89%1.29
Under 2.581%1.50
Scotland (−1)91%
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
Before kick-offAll markets · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · LostHome win — Scotland1.80
Public pick · LostScotland to win477 bets
Exact score · both picks lost
CHECKLIVE · Lost3 : 1expected score
Public pick · Lost1 : 124 bets
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Scotland vs Slovenia?
In the CheckLive calculation Scotland is the favourite: 62.2 vs 41.5. Signal strength 76/100; it is not a win probability.
What is Scotland's main edge?
Scotland is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 63.9 vs 30.2 for Slovenia. The overall rating gap is 20.7.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 1-0 (Scotland vs Slovenia, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.75 |