This is the UEFA Europa Conference League playoff round, and PAOK welcome SK Brann with a place in the league phase on the line. CheckLive's model makes PAOK favourites at 59% win probability, but the signal is medium — which means it is not a strong read. Brann are very much in this.
PAOK's recent form is mixed. They lost twice to Anderlecht in the Europa League, 2-3 and 0-1, and also lost a friendly against FC Twente 2-3, but they did beat Dynamo Kyiv home and away, 2-0 and 3-2. Brann, by contrast, have been sharp: wins over HamKam, Apollon Limassol, Rosenborg and Universitatea Cluj, either side of a narrow 0-1 loss in Cyprus to Apollon.
The only previous meeting between these sides ended 1-1 in the Europa League in November. With PAOK's form patchy and Brann's momentum strong, the draw is a live option. The key is whether PAOK can translate their favourite tag into control against a visiting side that scores freely.
