Palmeiras won this one 2-0, and the numbers back it up. They had 19 shots to São Paulo's eight and 58% of the ball, and São Paulo were down to ten men after a red card on 39 minutes.
7.3MuriloPalmeiras · Defender1 goal · 1 shot · 0.38 xGPalmeiras 2:0 São Paulo — Match Report
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORTFirst half1 - 0
- 12(Yellow card)
- 38Card upgrade confirmed (L. Osorio Messias De Oliveira)
- 39L. Osorio Messias De Oliveira(Red card)
- 45A. Gabriel
- 45 + 1
- 45 + 4(Yellow card)
- 45 + 5(Yellow card)
Second half1 - 0
- 67L. Pacheco
- 76(Yellow card)
- 76Tetê
- 85(Yellow card)
Live Prediction
Palmeiras to winWon1.29
CheckLive AI™ · Full-timeBETA
FT2–0P
+55.3Dominant
S
Palmeiras to win
WonQuestions & Answers
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs São Paulo?
Palmeiras 2-0 São Paulo (Brasileiro Série A).
Who scored?
Murilo (45+1') for Palmeiras; Vitor Roque (50', assist Khellven) for Palmeiras.
Was Palmeiras's win deserved?
Yes — Palmeiras were on top for most of the match.
Were there any red cards in Palmeiras vs São Paulo?
Yes — sent off: Luis Osorio Messias De Oliveira (São Paulo, 39').
Standings
Palmeiras – São Paulo
Where people bet the most today
$47.6K
Betting volume2.3K
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Head to Head meetings
Palmeiras – São Paulo
Palmeiras
São Paulo
- 19
Victories
- 13
Draws
- 9
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  19 | 9  |
Scored goals | 49 | 25 |
Average per game | 1.2 | 0.61 |
The biggest victory | 5-0 | 1-3 |
Palmeiras
- 5Matches
- 14Goals
- 2.8Goal per game
- 4Wins
- 0Draws
- 1Losses
São Paulo
- 5Matches
- 5Goals
- 1Goal per game
- 3Wins
- 0Draws
- 2Losses
Best statistical picks
Palmeiras – São Paulo
1X hasn't lost in 7 of the last matches
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Under 2.5
São Paulo opened the score in 6 of the last 8 matches
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 6.5
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchOdds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.61 | 3.75 | 5.50 |
There is no enough info about formation in this moment. Checklive again later
◆ CheckLive verdict
Clear favorite — Palmeiras
Palmeiras is a strong favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 58.7 + 5.8 for home advantage = 64.5 vs 41.2 for São Paulo. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 69 vs 26.6). CheckLive signal strength 79/100.
Home win — Palmeiras1.61
High confidence79%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
55.9
35.6
CheckSkill
56.3
52.1
CheckMental
69
26.6
CheckLive total64.5 vs 41.2+23.3Palmeiras: 58.7 + 5.8 for home advantage = 64.5
More match signals
Palmeiras (DNB)90%1.22
Under 2.584%1.67
Palmeiras (−1)94%
Today's market odds.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Palmeiras vs São Paulo?
In the CheckLive calculation Palmeiras is the favourite: 58.7 + 5.8 for home advantage = 64.5 vs 41.2. Signal strength 79/100; it is not a win probability.
What is Palmeiras's main edge?
Palmeiras is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 69 vs 26.6 for São Paulo. The overall rating gap is 23.3.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 1-0 (Palmeiras vs São Paulo, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.61 | 3.75 | 5.50 |