This is a Brasileiro Série A meeting between São Paulo and Atlético Mineiro. CheckLive's model makes Atlético Mineiro the favourites, with a 65% win probability and a strong signal, though that still leaves plenty of room for a draw or a home win. With league points at stake, it is a fixture both sides will want to take something from.
São Paulo's recent form is mixed: a 2-0 result against Red Bull Bragantino, a 0-1 loss at Chapecoense, a 3-1 win over Bolívar, and 1-1 draws with Coritiba and Bolívar. Atlético Mineiro are unbeaten in five, with a 1-0 result against Vitória, draws with Cruzeiro, Internacional and Red Bull Bragantino, and a 3-0 win over Grêmio.
The head-to-head favours Atlético Mineiro, who have four wins against São Paulo's one in eight meetings, with three draws. The last meeting, in March, ended 1-0 to Atlético Mineiro. With Atlético drawing so often lately, the key question is whether they can turn another tight game into a win, or whether São Paulo can finally get the better of them.
