This Europa League third qualifying round tie pits Red Bull Salzburg against Pafos FC, and it is a genuinely open one. CheckLive has no clear favourite here, so there is no strong win-probability to point to — this could go either way, with a draw very much in the mix. A place in the next round is the prize for both sides.
Salzburg have won their last two competitive games, beating TSV Hartberg 1-0 and SV Oberwart 7-1, though their friendly games included defeats to Başakşehir FK and Gamba Osaka. Pafos edged past Hajduk Split in the last Europa League round, winning 4-0 at home before losing 2-0 away, but their friendly form has been patchy, with losses to Slovan Bratislava and Jagiellonia Białystok and a 0-0 draw with FK Jablonec.
These sides have never met, so there is no head-to-head form to guide us. The key is whether Pafos can carry their European intensity away from home, while Salzburg will want to make home advantage count after a mixed set of results.
