This is the UEFA Europa Conference League playoff round, with progression to the group stage on the line. CheckLive favour Heart of Midlothian at 56% win probability, but the signal is only medium, so this one is genuinely close and a draw has to be part of the thinking.
Hearts have been mixed: they beat Inverness Caledonian Thistle 6-2 and Dundee United 4-0, drew 1-1 with Benfica, but lost 1-6 to Benfica and 1-2 to Aberdeen. Rapid Wien, by contrast, arrive on a five-match winning run: 8-0 over Grazer AK, 2-0 and 4-1 wins against Paide Linnameeskond, plus 2-1 and 1-0 league victories over SV Ried and Altach.
There is no head-to-head history between the clubs, so there is little to lean on there. The watch-point is whether Hearts can handle a Rapid side in a good groove, while staying disciplined enough to avoid the kind of heavy defeat they suffered against Benfica. With the favourite rated at just 56%, this one could go any of three ways.
