Who is the favourite in Puebla vs Monterrey?

In the CheckLive calculation Monterrey is the favourite: 60.2 vs 41.5 + 5.8 for home advantage = 47.3. Signal strength 67/100; it is not a win probability.

What is Monterrey's main edge?

Monterrey is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 71.2 vs 28.6 for Puebla. The overall rating gap is 12.9.

How does CheckLive rate the match?

The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.

What does Confidence mean?

Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.

What is the correct-score prediction?

CheckLive calculation: 1-2 (Puebla vs Monterrey, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.

Puebla

22.10.2026 01:00

GOAL!1 - 4FT

Monterrey

Player of the match

8.9Lucas OcamposMonterrey · Midfielder1 goal · 3 shots · 1 key pass · 0.14 xG

Puebla 1:4 Monterrey — Match Report

First half0 - 3

17
D. Rossi
(L. Ocampos)
31
H. Cuypers
34
L. Ocampos
(Ó. Torres)
45
O. Moreno
H. Jurado
45
E. Armenta
M. Tomás
45
D. Aceves
C. Salcedo

Second half1 - 1

Bets and model

Before kick-off

All markets · both picks won

CHECKLIVE · WonAway win — Monterrey1.76

Public pick · WonMonterrey to win638 bets

Exact score · both picks lost

CHECKLIVE · Lost1 : 2expected score

Public pick · Lost1 : 14 bets

AICheckLive AI Bot

Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.

Ask the AI bot about this match

H2H

Head to Head meetings

Puebla – Monterrey

Puebla

Monterrey

1
Victories
2
Draws
7
Victories

label	first team	second team
Victories	1	7
Scored goals	9	19
Average per game	0.9	1.9
The biggest victory	1-0	1-4

Form

Puebla

5Matches
5Goals
1Goal per game
0Wins
2Draws
3Losses

date	first team	second team
25.10, 23:00
25.10, 23:00	Atlas	Puebla
22.10, 01:00
22.10, 01:00	Puebla	Monterrey
17.10, 03:00
17.10, 03:00	Club Tijuana	Puebla
10.10, 01:00
10.10, 01:00	Puebla	Club León
27.09, 03:10
27.09, 03:10	Tigres UANL	Puebla

Monterrey

5Matches
9Goals
1.8Goal per game
3Wins
1Draws
1Losses

date	first team	second team
25.10, 01:00
25.10, 01:00	Monterrey	CD Guadalajara
22.10, 01:00
22.10, 01:00	Puebla	Monterrey
19.10, 01:00
19.10, 01:00	Monterrey	Pachuca
11.10, 03:10
11.10, 03:10	Club América	Monterrey
03.10, 23:30
03.10, 23:30	Monterrey	Toluca

Standings

Puebla – Monterrey

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GLS	PTS	Form
7	Monterrey	13	6	2	5	23:18	20	D W W L
14	Puebla	14	4	4	6	16:21	16	D D L L

#	Team	P	DIFF	PTS
7	Monterrey	13	+5	20
14	Puebla	14	-5	16

Best statistical picks

Puebla – Monterrey

Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 matches
X2 hasn't lost in 3 of the last matches
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Under 2.5
Cards over the last 10 matches favour Under 4.5

Odds

1	X	2
4.33	3.80	1.71

Questions & Answers

Match betting activity

Full time

$200.6K

Betting volume

1.8K

bets

Monterrey to win$85.6K701 bets
Double chance: 1X$42.7K146 bets
Double chance: X2$16.7K90 bets

All bets

$664

Betting volume

bets

All bets · newest first

Over 5.5 goalsOdds: 100.00$190′+
Under 5.5 goalsOdds: 1.01$24790′+
Under 5.5 goalsOdds: 1.03$1090′+
Monterrey handicap -2.5Odds: 1.02$1190′+
Puebla handicap +3.5Odds: 1.04$2990′+
Over 5.5 goalsOdds: 11.14$390′+
Over 5.5 goalsOdds: 7.09$390′+
Monterrey handicap -3.5Odds: 13.36$190′+
Monterrey handicap -3.5Odds: 11.76$190′+
Monterrey handicap -3.5Odds: 21.88$590′+
Exact score 1–4Odds: 1.12$290′+
Puebla handicap +2.5Odds: 14.34$2890′+
Under 5.5 goalsOdds: 1.14$290′+
Under 5.5 goalsOdds: 1.14$22490′+
Under 5.5 goalsOdds: 1.19$9790′+