Who is the favourite in PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II Tilburg?

In the CheckLive calculation PSV Eindhoven is the favourite: 64.9 vs 41.9. Signal strength 78/100; it is not a win probability.

What is PSV Eindhoven's main edge?

PSV Eindhoven is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 69 vs 30.8 for Willem II Tilburg. The overall rating gap is 23.

How does CheckLive rate the match?

The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.

What does Confidence mean?

Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.

What is the correct-score prediction?

CheckLive calculation: 2-1 (PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II Tilburg, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.

PSV Eindhoven

31.10.2026 17:45

GOAL!7 - 0FT

Willem II Tilburg

Player of the match

Ricardo PepiPSV Eindhoven · Forward1 goal

PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II Tilburg

First half2 - 0

20
M. Júnior
41
M. Dekker
(Yellow card)
44
G. Til
(A. Obispo)

Second half5 - 0

CheckMomentumResult

Match dominance

PSV Eindhoven

even

Willem II Tilburg

Bets and model

Before kick-off

All markets · only the model pick won

CHECKLIVE · WonHome win — PSV Eindhoven1.07

Public pick · LostWillem II Tilburg handicap +2.5150 bets

Exact score · both picks lost

CHECKLIVE · Lost2 : 1expected score

Public pick · Lost4 : 13 bets

AIAsk AI about this match

«How did PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II Tilburg on 31 October 2026 go, and did the CheckLive prediction come true?»

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Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.

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H2H

Head to Head meetings

PSV Eindhoven – Willem II Tilburg

PSV Eindhoven

Willem II Tilburg

3
Victories
1
Draws
1
Victories

label	first team	second team
Victories	3	1
Scored goals	15	5
Average per game	3	1
The biggest victory	7-0	1-2

Form

PSV Eindhoven

5Matches
11Goals
2.2Goal per game
2Wins
1Draws
2Losses

date	first team	second team
04.11, 20:00
04.11, 20:00	PSV Eindhoven	Club Brugge
31.10, 17:45
31.10, 17:45	PSV Eindhoven	Willem II Tilburg
25.10, 13:30
25.10, 13:30	PSV Eindhoven	Feyenoord
20.10, 19:00
20.10, 19:00	FC Porto	PSV Eindhoven
17.10, 14:30
17.10, 14:30	ADO Den Haag	PSV Eindhoven

Willem II Tilburg

5Matches
8Goals
1.6Goal per game
1Wins
1Draws
3Losses

date	first team	second team
06.11, 19:00
06.11, 19:00	Willem II Tilburg	PEC Zwolle
31.10, 17:45
31.10, 17:45	PSV Eindhoven	Willem II Tilburg
27.10, 19:00
27.10, 19:00	Helmond Sport	Willem II Tilburg
24.10, 16:45
24.10, 16:45	Willem II Tilburg	SC Cambuur
17.10, 19:00
17.10, 19:00	Sparta Rotterdam	Willem II Tilburg

Standings

PSV Eindhoven – Willem II Tilburg

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GLS	PTS	Form
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	2	2	35:13	23	W L D W
18	Willem II Tilburg	12	0	3	9	11:40	3	L L L D

#	Team	P	DIFF	PTS
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	+22	23
18	Willem II Tilburg	12	-29	3

Odds

1	X	2
1.08	13.00	21.00

Questions & Answers

Who bet on what before the match

PublicU 4.51.92

Money2 (+2.5)2.59

Pros—no bets

Timeline

89′
Public and money — on “U 7.5”
PublicU 7.51.34
MoneyU 7.51.34
Pros—no bets
82′
Goal — PSV Eindhoven7:0
77′
Goal — PSV Eindhoven6:0
74′
Goal — PSV Eindhoven5:0
54′
Goal — PSV Eindhoven4:0
51′
Goal — PSV Eindhoven3:0
45′
Goal — PSV Eindhoven2:0
34′
Public and money — on PSV Eindhoven
Public11.05
Money11.05
Pros—no bets
21′
Goal — PSV Eindhoven1:0

Pros and big bets

Public1,428Big bets3Pros0

31 Oct17:22Bigbet1 (-2.5)1.59$4.1K+56%

31 Oct11:01Bigbet2 (+2.5)2.44$2.6K−100%

31 Oct10:52Bigbet2 (+2.5)2.44$3.2K−100%

ROI · CheckLive model

Match betting activity

Full time

$99K

Betting volume

1.4K

bets

Willem II Tilburg handicap +2.5$19.7K158 bets
Under 4.5 goals$9.7K55 bets
Willem II Tilburg handicap +3.5$9.1K73 bets

Bets and money by outcome

Number of betsMoney staked

1X2

U 2.5O 2.5

1 (-2.5)2 (+2.5)