Progreso came away with a 2-1 win over Racing de Montevideo, and they did it with ten men for the closing stretch. Iván Manzur's second booking on 72 minutes left them a man short, and they still found a way to take the three points.
Progreso 2:1 Racing de Montevideo — Match Report
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORTFirst half1 - 0
- 19
Second half1 - 1
- 66
- 72
- 72
- 76R. Gadea
- 82A. De la Cuesta
- 90
Questions & Answers
Who will win, Progreso vs Racing de Montevideo?
CheckLive's model makes Racing de Montevideo the favourite. Model signal strength is 55/100; this is not a win probability.
What is the predicted score?
CheckLive's model projects Progreso 0:1 Racing de Montevideo.
When is Progreso vs Racing de Montevideo?
Kick-off Saturday 26 September at 15:00 UK time, in the Primera División.
Standings
Progreso – Racing de Montevideo
| # | Team | P | DIFF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Racing de Montevideo | 15 | +9 | 31 |
| 15 |  Progreso | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| # | Team | P | DIFF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Progreso | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Racing de Montevideo | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| # | Team | P | DIFF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Racing de Montevideo | 33 | +12 | 56 |
| 16 | Progreso | 33 | -17 | 32 |
| # | Team | P | DIFF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Racing de Montevideo | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| # | Team | P | DIFF | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | -5 | 6 |
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Betting volume13.5K
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Head to Head meetings
Progreso – Racing de Montevideo
Progreso
Racing de Montevideo
- 3
Victories
- 2
Draws
- 5
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  3 | 5  |
Scored goals | 11 | 16 |
Average per game | 1.1 | 1.6 |
The biggest victory | 2-1 | 0-3 |
Progreso
- 5Matches
- 9Goals
- 1.8Goal per game
- 3Wins
- 1Draws
- 1Losses
Racing de Montevideo
- 5Matches
- 4Goals
- 0.8Goal per game
- 1Wins
- 1Draws
- 3Losses
Best statistical picks
Progreso – Racing de Montevideo
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 8.5
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchOdds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.90 | 3.10 | 1.83 |
There is no enough info about formation in this moment. Checklive again later
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Racing de Montevideo
Racing de Montevideo is a slight favourite in the CheckLive calculation: 47.3 vs 37.7 + 5.8 for home advantage = 43.5 for Progreso. The biggest edge is in mental resilience (CheckMental 46.6 vs 26.6). CheckLive signal strength 55/100.
Both teams to score — No1.73
Medium confidence55%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
36.7
43.8
CheckSkill
43.3
50.4
CheckMental
26.6
46.6
CheckLive total43.5 vs 47.3+3.8Progreso: 37.7 + 5.8 for home advantage = 43.5
More match signals
Draw or Racing de Montevideo63%1.22
Away win — Racing de Montevideo59%1.83
Over 2.556%2.25
Today's market odds.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Progreso vs Racing de Montevideo?
In the CheckLive calculation Racing de Montevideo is the favourite: 47.3 vs 37.7 + 5.8 for home advantage = 43.5. Signal strength 55/100; it is not a win probability.
What is Racing de Montevideo's main edge?
Racing de Montevideo is strongest in mental resilience: CheckMental 46.6 vs 26.6 for Progreso. The overall rating gap is 3.8.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 0-1 (Progreso vs Racing de Montevideo, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.90 | 3.10 | 1.83 |