Nacional 1:0 Progreso — Match Report
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchClub Nacional de Fútbol edged Progreso 1-0 in Primera División, thanks to Maximiliano Silvera’s goal in the 90th minute. For most of the match it looked as though Progreso would hold on for a point. The decisive strike came after Progreso had been reduced to ten men.
Marco Saravia was shown a second yellow card on 31 minutes and sent off, leaving Progreso to defend with ten. Nacional pushed for a winner and finally found it at the death, Silvera scoring to make it 1-0. The goal was the only one of the afternoon.
The standout figure was Silvera, the only scorer, with his 90th-minute finish. Several players were booked across the match, with Saravia’s red the defining moment. Nacional had the numerical advantage for almost an hour but needed until the last minute to make it count.
First half0 - 0
- 16S. Bruschi Díaz
- 29
- 31
- 34S. Bruschi Díaz
- 45
Second half1 - 0
- 76J. Solleiro
- 77J. Solleiro
- 84
- 88
Head to Head meetings Nacional - Progreso
- Matches10
- The biggest draw0-0
- The most effective match5-1

Nacional

Progreso
- 7
Victories
- 1
Draws
- 2
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories | 7 | 2 |
Scored goals | 17 | 5 |
Average per game | 1.7 | 0.5 |
The biggest victory | 5-1 | 0-1 |

Nacional

Progreso
Nacional - Progreso Best statistical picks
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 9.5
Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
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◆ CheckLive verdict
Clear favorite — Nacional
Nacional have owned this fixture — six home wins in nine meetings, including a 2-1 win in August — and face a Progreso side on a three-match losing streak. CheckLive's read leans Nacional at 72%; the edge is built on head-to-head dominance and a clear form gap.
Home win — Nacional1.38
High confidence72%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
45.8
35.5
CheckSkill
52.5
45.1
CheckMental
43.3
24.4
CheckLive total48.3 vs 37.6+10.7
More match signals
Nacional (DNB)85%1.14
Over 2.578%1.85
Nacional (−1)83%
Today's market odds.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win between Nacional and Progreso?
Nacional are the clear pick: six home wins in nine head-to-head meetings, a bogey fixture for Progreso, who arrive on three straight losses with just two goals scored in five.
Is Nacional the favourite based on form?
Nacional are still favourites, but their form is uneven with two straight losses; Progreso are worse — four defeats in five, a three-match losing run and only ten points in 15th place.
Will both teams score in Nacional v Progreso?
Progreso have managed just two goals in five matches and average 0.9 goals away in this head-to-head, so backing BTTS 'no' — Nacional to win to nil or keep it one-sided — holds more appeal.
- Matches0
- The biggest draw0
- The most effective match0
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|

