Phoenix Rising host Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship, and CheckLive leans narrowly to the home side with a model signal strength of 53 per cent. That is a low signal, so this is genuinely close: a Las Vegas win or a draw are both well within range. With the regular season running down, points matter to both.
Phoenix Rising FC vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction & Live Score
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH PREVIEWAICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchQuestions & Answers
Who is the favourite in Phoenix Rising FC vs Las Vegas Lights?
CheckLive favours Phoenix Rising FC. Model signal strength: 53/100.
What is the predicted score?
CheckLive calculation: Phoenix Rising FC 2:1 Las Vegas Lights, in regulation time.
When is Phoenix Rising FC vs Las Vegas Lights?
11 October 2026 at 03:00 UK time
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
Phoenix Rising FC – Las Vegas Lights
Phoenix Rising FC
Las Vegas Lights
- 11
Victories
- 6
Draws
- 6
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  11 | 6  |
Scored goals | 49 | 28 |
Average per game | 2.13 | 1.22 |
The biggest victory | 5-1 | 2-5 |
Phoenix Rising FC
Las Vegas Lights
No data
◆ CheckLive verdict
Evenly matched
Phoenix Rising FC scored 6 and conceded 9 across the latest 5 available matches. Las Vegas Lights scored 6 and conceded 8 across the latest 5 available matches. The main regulation-time score scenario is 2-1.
Over 2.5
No clear favorite
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
38
42.7
CheckSkill
53.1
53.9
CheckMental
28.6
37.7
CheckLive total42.9 vs 46.7+3.8
More match signals
Both teams to score — Yes58%
Over 3.551%
Home win — Phoenix Rising FC50%
Today's market odds.
All both teams to score predictions →Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main forecast?
The CheckLive calculation has no clear favourite. The main regulation-time score scenario is 2-1.
What does the head-to-head sample show?
In the supplied 15 head-to-head meetings, Phoenix Rising FC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats.
How should the forecast be interpreted?
CheckLive signal strength is 53/100, not a calibrated chance of winning. Recent results cover the available sample; separate card scenarios can differ from the main score forecast.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |