This is a Treta Liga - YZ meeting between two Sofia-based reserve sides, with league points at stake. CheckLive's numbers make PFC CSKA III Sofia the favourites at a 56% win probability, though the signal is only medium and the gap is far from decisive. A draw is a genuine possibility here, not an afterthought.
CSKA III Sofia come into this one without a win in their last five: a 1-2 loss to OFC Botev 1937 Ihtiman, then four straight draws — 1-1 with FC Kyustendil, 0-0 against FC Septemvri Simitli, 0-0 at FK Strumska Slava Radomir, and 1-1 with FC Oborishte Panagyurishte. Slavia 1913 II Sofia have been more erratic: wins over FC Balkan 1929 Botevgrad (1-0) and PFC Levski 1914 II Sofia (1-0), but losses to OFC Kostinbrod 2012 (0-1), FC Slivnishki Geroy Slivnitsa (1-2) and PFC Septemvri II Sofia (0-1).
The head-to-head favours the visitors historically: from five meetings, CSKA III Sofia have one win, one draw and three defeats, including a 1-0 loss to Slavia II in a friendly last July. The key thing to watch is whether CSKA III Sofia can turn their solid, hard-to-beat recent form into a first win in six, or whether Slavia II's sharper attacking days edge them again. With both teams prone to low-scoring games, a share of the points would not surprise.
