







Who is the favourite in Paul T. vs Alcaraz C.?
CheckLive's model makes Alcaraz C. the favourite — a 53% win probability.
What is the recent form ahead of Paul T. vs Alcaraz C.?
Recent matches (by sets) — Paul T.: 4-1 (W 3:2, W 3:1, W 3:1, L 1:2, W 2:1); Alcaraz C.: 4-0 (W 3:0, W 3:1, W 3:0, W 2:0).
What is the head-to-head record between Paul T. and Alcaraz C.?
8 previous meetings: Paul T. 2-6 Alcaraz C.
When do Paul T. and Alcaraz C. play?
06.09.2026 at 18:00 (UTC), US Open, Round of 16.

2.1M €Per year
5.3M €Per career time
ResidenceGreenville, NC, USA
BirthplaceVoorhees, NJ, USA
Hover over the shape diagram to see event details.

8M €Per year
17.9M €Per career time
ResidenceEl Palmar, Murcia, Spain
BirthplaceEl Palmar, Murcia, Spain
Hover over the shape diagram to see event details.
Alcaraz owns this matchup completely, with eight straight wins over Paul and three straight-set victories already in 2026. CheckLive's read also favors the Spaniard — a 53% lean that, with that head-to-head behind it, looks stronger than the number alone suggests.
Today's market odds.
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|