This is a Round 2 tie in the DBU Pokalen, and CheckLive's model has no clear favourite. With no strong win probability signal, this one is firmly in the balance and a draw is a genuine possible outcome.
Nykøbing have won three of their last five: 3-2 over Skive, 2-0 over B 93 Kopenhagen and 3-1 over Sundby BK, with 2-2 draws against Fremad Amager and Brøndby IF. Næstved are unbeaten in five, though four of those were draws — 1-1 with HIK, 2-2 with FC Roskilde, 1-1 with B 93 Kopenhagen and 2-2 with FC Helsingør — alongside a 1-0 cup win at Hvidovre.
The head to head clearly favours the visitors: in eight previous meetings, Næstved have won five, with three draws and no Nykøbing win. Their most recent meeting, a friendly in January, ended 2-2. Given Næstved's frequent draws and Nykøbing's solid recent form, a tight, even cup tie looks most likely, with the key question being whether Næstved can finally turn one of those draws into a win.
