This is a 2. NL fixture between NK Zagora Unešić and NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac, with league points on the line. CheckLive's model favours the home side heavily, giving Zagora Unešić a 79% win probability on a high-strength signal. That is a strong read, though not a lock.
Zagora Unešić come in with three wins from their last five: a 4-2 cup win over Bratstvo Jurovec, a 1-0 friendly victory over Zadar and a 5-0 regional cup win against Rudar Siverić, alongside a 4-4 league draw with Jarun and a 3-5 loss at Koprivnica. Hrvatski Dragovoljac have lost four of their last five, including a 0-3 league defeat at Lučko and heavy friendly losses to Vukovar 1991 and Zagorec Krapina; their only win was a 2-0 cup success over Dinamo Predavac.
The sides have never met before, so there is no head-to-head form to guide this one. The key question is whether Hrvatski Dragovoljac can shore up defensively after shipping five goals in their most recent friendly, against a home side that has scored freely in their recent cup fixtures.
