Cleethorpes Town host Newcastle Town in FA Cup Qualification Round 1, a one-off tie with a place in the next qualifying round at stake. CheckLive favour the home side, giving Cleethorpes a 57% win probability on a medium signal, but that leaves plenty of room for an upset. With a draw a genuine possibility, this is a contest that could go either way.
Cleethorpes arrive in form, having won four of their last five: 3-0 against Gainsborough Trinity, 6-0 against Whitby Town, 3-0 against Ilkeston Town and 2-1 against Alfreton Town, though they did lose 1-3 to Curzon Ashton FC. Newcastle Town have found it harder, with defeats to Hanley Town (2-3), Bourne Town (0-3) and Wythenshawe FC (3-4), plus a draw with Chasetown (1-1) and a win over Pershore Town (3-2) in the earlier FA Cup rounds.
The two sides have never met before, so there is no head-to-head form to lean on. The main thing to watch is whether Cleethorpes can carry their sharp scoring form into a cup tie against a Newcastle Town side who have been conceding freely. It looks close enough that a draw and a replay would be no surprise.
