This USL League One contest sees New York Cosmos host AC Boise. CheckLive's model favours the visitors AC Boise quite strongly, giving them a 70% win probability with a high signal — though in football a draw is always a live possibility, particularly given the home side's variable form.
New York Cosmos have had a mixed recent run: they drew 0-0 with Corpus Christi FC, lost 3-5 to Portland Hearts of Pine, beat FC Naples 1-0, then lost 0-3 to Greenville Triumph SC and 1-2 to Santos Laguna in a friendly. AC Boise have been more consistent, winning 2-1 against Portland Hearts of Pine, 2-0 over Sacramento Republic FC, 1-0 against Westchester SC, before a 1-2 loss to One Knoxville SC and a 1-0 win over Union Omaha SC.
There is no head-to-head history between these two sides, so this is a genuine first meeting. The key question is whether New York Cosmos can find the defensive solidity they showed against Corpus Christi and FC Naples, or if AC Boise's recent winning momentum will carry them through.
