This Eliteserien meeting pits Molde FK against Tromsø IL, with CheckLive making the visitors favourites at a 63% win probability. The signal is strong, but that still leaves real room for a draw or a home result, so this is not a foregone conclusion. Both sides are chasing league points and nothing beyond the fixture itself is at stake in this round.
Molde’s recent league form has been patchy: they lost 1-2 to Kristiansund BK and 1-2 to SK Brann, drew 3-3 with Sarpsborg 08 and 2-2 with Aalesunds FK, and beat KFUM Oslo 4-2. Tromsø have been more convincing in the league, with a 6-2 win over Aalesunds FK and a 4-1 win over HamKam, though their European results include a 5-0 victory over CFR 1907 Cluj and two defeats to FC Hradec Králové.
The head-to-head is strikingly even: eight meetings, with Molde winning four and Tromsø winning four, and no draws. The last meeting, in May 2026, went Tromsø’s way with a 2-0 win, so they will carry that confidence into this one. The key thing to watch is whether Molde can tighten up defensively, given they have conceded two or more in four of their last five games.
