It's Molde FK against Sarpsborg 08 in the Eliteserien this weekend. CheckLive favour the home side, giving Molde a 65% chance of winning – a relatively strong signal. But with a draw always a live outcome, this is far from a foregone conclusion.
Molde come into this one with mixed recent form: they beat KFUM Oslo 4-2, but lost to SK Brann and drew with Aalesunds FK, and also lost friendlies to Rosenborg and Bodø/Glimt. Sarpsborg, meanwhile, have won three of their last five competitive matches – beating HamKam, Viking FK and SK Brann – with a draw against Kristiansund and a friendly defeat to Lillestrøm.
The head-to-head record is tight – eight meetings, with Molde winning three, Sarpsborg four, and one draw. The last clash, in May 2026, went Sarpsborg's way 2-1. With both sides capable of taking points, the key will be whether Molde can click at home or if Sarpsborg's recent league form proves the difference.
