This Championship meeting pairs Middlesbrough with Lincoln City. CheckLive's model favours the away side, putting Lincoln City's win probability at 68% with a strong signal. That is a clear read, but not a guarantee — a draw remains a live possibility.
Middlesbrough have had a mixed run: they beat Wrexham 1-0, drew 3-3 with Espanyol, lost 1-3 to Huddersfield Town, drew 1-1 with Celtic and lost 0-1 to Hull City. Lincoln City beat Derby County 2-1, then lost to Barnsley 0-3, beat Doncaster Rovers 1-0, lost to Grimsby Town 1-5 and lost to Leyton Orient 0-2. The away side's form is patchy, with two wins and three defeats in their last five.
There is no prior head-to-head record between these two sides in the data, so little to separate them historically. The main thing to watch is whether Middlesbrough can handle a Lincoln City side that CheckLive clearly rates, despite playing away. Both teams have shown they can concede, so the game could easily swing either way.
