This is a UEFA Champions League playoff round tie, with Levski Sofia hosting AEK Athens and a spot in the group stage on the line. CheckLive makes Levski the favourite at a 60% win probability, but the medium signal suggests this could easily go either way. The home side will want to make the most of playing in Sofia.
Levski come into this in strong form, winning four and drawing one of their last five. They beat Kairat Almaty 1-0 twice in qualifying and have kept four clean sheets in that run. AEK have had a patchier build-up: they beat Athens Kallithea 4-0 and Sint-Truidense 3-0, but lost 6-7 to OFI Crete in the Super Cup and 1-2 to Samsunspor, with four of those five games friendlies.
The two teams have never met before, so there is no head-to-head form to lean on. The key question is whether Levski's defensive solidity can frustrate an AEK side that has been inconsistent in pre-season. CheckLive's 60% read favours Levski, but with medium signal and no prior meetings, a draw is a genuine possibility.
