Leicester City 2:1 Derby County — Match Report
First half2 - 1
Second half0 - 0
- 83(Foul)
- 90 + 6(Foul)
- 90 + 6(Dissent)
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchH2H
Head to Head meetings
Leicester City – Derby County
Leicester City
Derby County
- 3
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  3 | 0  |
Scored goals | 8 | 3 |
Average per game | 2.67 | 1 |
The biggest victory | 3-1 | 0 |
Form
Leicester City
- 5Matches
- 12Goals
- 2.4Goal per game
- 3Wins
- 1Draws
- 1Losses
Derby County
- 5Matches
- 3Goals
- 0.6Goal per game
- 0Wins
- 1Draws
- 4Losses
Standings
Leicester City – Derby County
Best statistical picks
Leicester City – Derby County
X2 hasn't lost in 4 of the last matches
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.01 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Derby County
CheckLive's preview tilts slightly toward Derby County, with recent form and composure under pressure offsetting Leicester's dominant home record in this fixture. The visitors arrive with steadier results, while Leicester's defensive lapses leave the door open for an away result.
Over 2.52.20
Medium confidence70%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
38
51.8
CheckSkill
54.4
54.9
CheckMental
29
59.7
CheckLive total49.4 vs 54.8+5.4
More match signals
Away win — Derby County70%3.50
Derby County (DNB)69%2.50
Derby County (−1)50%
Today's market odds.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win between Leicester City and Derby County?
Derby County hold a narrow statistical edge according to CheckLive's analysis, with better recent form and mental resilience. However, Leicester have won both prior meetings at home, so a draw or away win is the likeliest outcome.
Which team is in better form ahead of this match?
Derby County have the stronger recent record, unbeaten in three and showing defensive solidity. Leicester's last five have been mixed, with two wins, two losses and a draw, leaving them with a lower form rating of 43.1 against Derby's 48.5.
What is the best bet for Leicester vs Derby?
With Derby's slight form edge and Leicester's home H2H dominance, the double chance market — backing Derby or a draw — aligns with the model's outlook. Under 2.5 total goals also fits the expected tight contest.
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.01 | 3.30 | 3.50 |