Question 1

Who will win the FA Cup third-round tie between Derby County and Leeds United?

Accepted Answer

According to CheckLive's analysis, Derby County are the favourites to win, with a 73% probability. The model highlights the hosts' advantages in form and mental composure as key factors. However, Leeds have dominated recent head-to-head encounters, adding an element of uncertainty. The tie is expected to be tight, so a narrow home win is the likeliest outcome.

Question 2

Who has better form entering this FA Cup match?

Accepted Answer

Derby County hold a slight advantage in form metrics despite inconsistent recent results, while Leeds United are unbeaten in five but drawing regularly. The underlying numbers favour Derby, particularly in defensive efficiency, making them the more balanced side overall. Leeds' undefeated record is built on draws, leaving them vulnerable.

Question 3

Will both teams score in the Derby County vs Leeds United match?

Accepted Answer

Both teams have been solid defensively: Derby conceded six goals in five games, Leeds four in five. The H2H averages 1.5 goals per game, pointing to under 2.5 goals as the stronger market. BTTS looks less likely given these trends. Leeds' away games have been particularly low-scoring.

label	first team	second team
Victories	0	3
Scored goals	1	6
Average per game	0.33	2
The biggest victory	0	1-3

label	first team	second team
Victories	0	0
Scored goals	0	0
Average per game	0	0
The biggest victory	0	0

Derby County 1:3 Leeds United — Match Report

Head to Head meetings Derby County - Leeds United

Derby County

Leeds United

Derby County - Leeds United Best statistical picks

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