Iceland won 3-0 in Luxembourg, and the numbers back it up. They had three big chances and took all three, while the hosts created none at all.
8.5Victor PálssonIceland · Defender1 goal · 2 shots · 0.21 xGLuxembourg 0:3 Iceland — Match Report
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORTFirst half0 - 2
- 13(O. Steinn Óskarsson)
- 35H. Valdimarsson(Yellow card)
- 39O. Steinn Óskarsson
Second half0 - 1
- 59Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson(Yellow card)
- 62E. dos Santos
- 67S. Teitur Thórdarson
- 72(Yellow card)
- 74B. Darri WillumssonO. Steinn Óskarsson
- 75I. Thorvaldsson
- 76H. Kadamani
- 76J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
- 78(Yellow card)
- 90(Yellow card)
- 90 + 1I. Thorvaldsson(Yellow card)
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchLive Prediction
Iceland to winWon1.40
CheckLive AI™ · Full-timeBETA
FT0–3L
−44.9Dominant
I
Iceland to win
WonQuestions & Answers
What was the final score of Luxembourg vs Iceland?
Luxembourg 0-3 Iceland (UEFA Nations League).
Who scored?
Andri Guðjohnsen (13', assist Orri Steinn Óskarsson) for Iceland; Orri Steinn Óskarsson (39', assist Andri Guðjohnsen) for Iceland; Victor Pálsson (73', assist Gylfi Sigurðsson) for Iceland.
Was Iceland's win deserved?
Yes — Iceland were on top for most of the match.
Were there any cards in Luxembourg vs Iceland?
Yellow cards: Hakon Valdimarsson (Iceland); Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson (Iceland); Leandro Barreiro (Luxembourg); Mikael Ellertsson (Iceland); Enes Mahmutović (Luxembourg); Isak Thorvaldsson (Iceland).
Head to Head meetings
Luxembourg – Iceland
Luxembourg
Iceland
- 1
Victories
- 1
Draws
- 1
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  1 | 1  |
Scored goals | 4 | 5 |
Average per game | 1.33 | 1.67 |
The biggest victory | 3-1 | 0-3 |
Luxembourg
Iceland
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.40 |
Match betting activity
$228K
Betting volume1.9K
bets- Iceland to winWon · 19.2% of bets$100.7K367 bets
- Double chance: X2Won · 6.1% of bets$26.3K117 bets
- Luxembourg to winLost · 11% of bets$17.9K210 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
There is no enough info about formation in this moment. Checklive again later
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Iceland
Iceland is a slight favourite on CheckLive metrics: overall rating 39.2 vs 37.7 for Luxembourg. The biggest edge is in overall quality (CheckSkill 48.6 vs 45.3). CheckLive signal strength 56/100. Home advantage tilts the CheckLive calculation towards Luxembourg, so the edge is thin.
Over 2.52.15
Medium confidence56%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
35.4
35.5
CheckSkill
45.3
48.6
CheckMental
24.4
24.4
CheckLive total37.7 vs 39.2+1.5
More match signals
Both teams to score — Yes60%1.83
Over 3.555%3.75
Home win — Luxembourg54%2.90
Today's market odds.
All both teams to score predictions →Bets and model
Full matchAll markets · both picks won
CHECKLIVE · WonOver 2.52.10
Betting pick · WonIceland to win19% of bets · $100.7K
Exact score · only the betting pick won
CHECKLIVE · Lost3 : 1expected score
Betting pick · Won0 : 39% of bets · $125
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Luxembourg vs Iceland?
On CheckLive metrics Iceland rate higher: 39.2 vs 37.7, CheckLive signal strength 56/100. Home advantage tilts the CheckLive calculation towards Luxembourg, so the edge is thin.
What is Iceland's main edge?
Iceland is strongest in overall quality: CheckSkill 48.6 vs 45.3 for Luxembourg. The overall rating gap is 1.5.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 3-1 (Luxembourg vs Iceland, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.40 |