Maksim Paskotsi's second-half equaliser earned Estonia a 1-1 draw in the Nations League away at Iceland, where midfielder Rasmus Peetson was the game's outstanding figure before Iceland travel to Luxembourg. A point apiece, and one side will feel considerably more aggrieved than the other.
Andri GuðjohnsenIceland · Forward1 goalIceland 1:1 Estonia — Match Report
Gary RedknappFootball AnalystMATCH REPORTFirst half1 - 0
- 30I. Thorvaldsson
Second half0 - 1
- 52
- 54(Yellow card)
- 75J. Dagur Þórsteinsson
- 75Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
- 81(Yellow card)
- 84S. Teitur Thórdarson(Yellow card)
- 85K. Mani Ingason
AICheckLive AI Bot
Model verdict, form, head-to-head and live pressure for this match. Ask anything in Telegram.
Ask the AI bot about this matchLive Prediction
Iceland to winLost1.08
CheckLive AI™ · Full-timeBETA
FT1–1I
+7.2Clear edge
E
Iceland to win
LostQuestions & Answers
What was the final score of Iceland vs Estonia?
Iceland 1-1 Estonia (UEFA Nations League).
Who scored?
Andri Guðjohnsen (45', assist Hakon Arnar Haraldsson) for Iceland; Maksim Paskotsi (64', assist Rasmus Peetson) for Estonia.
Were there any cards in Iceland vs Estonia?
Yellow cards: Karol Mets (Estonia); Rasmus Peetson (Estonia); Stefán Teitur Thórdarson (Iceland).
Head to Head meetings
Iceland – Estonia
Iceland
Estonia
- 0
Victories
- 2
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0  |
Scored goals | 2 | 2 |
Average per game | 1 | 1 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Iceland
Estonia
Best statistical picks
Iceland – Estonia
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Over 2.5
Goals over the last 10 matches favour Under 2.5
Corners over the last 10 matches favour Under 8.5
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | 5.25 | 10.00 |
Match betting activity
$420.9K
Betting volume3.7K
bets- Under 2.5 goalsWon · 7.4% of bets$78.4K276 bets
- Over 2.5 goalsLost · 6% of bets$48.7K222 bets
- Iceland to winLost · 13.4% of bets$47.7K500 bets
CheckLive betting analytics uses CheckLive’s internal calculation model. Figures describe activity over the selected period, not unique people or bet slips. Coverage may be partial. How to read betting activity: interactive guide
There is no enough info about formation in this moment. Checklive again later
◆ CheckLive verdict
Slight edge — Estonia
Iceland is a slight favourite on CheckLive metrics: overall rating 38.8 vs 41.3 for Estonia. The biggest edge is in recent form (CheckForm 35.8 vs 37.6); CheckLive signal strength 55%.
Both teams to score — No1.62
Medium confidence55%
Three CheckLive metrics
CheckForm
35.8
37.6
CheckSkill
47.5
49.7
CheckMental
24.4
28.6
CheckLive total38.8 vs 41.3+2.5
More match signals
Iceland (DNB)59%1.07
Iceland or draw55%1.03
Under 2.550%2.10
Today's market odds.
Bets and model
Full matchAll markets · only the betting pick won
CHECKLIVE · LostBoth teams to score — No1.62
Betting pick · WonUnder 2.5 goals7% of bets · $78.4K
Exact score · only the betting pick won
CHECKLIVE · Lost1 : 0expected score
Betting pick · Won1 : 112% of bets · $142
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite in Iceland vs Estonia?
On CheckLive metrics the favourite is Iceland: overall rating 38.8 vs 41.3, CheckLive signal strength 55%.
What is Iceland's main edge?
Iceland is strongest in recent form: CheckForm 35.8 vs 37.6 for Estonia. The overall rating gap is 2.7.
How does CheckLive rate the match?
The rating is built on three metrics: form (CheckForm), quality (CheckSkill) and mentality (CheckMental). Their values and the match signals are below.
What does Confidence mean?
Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
What is the correct-score prediction?
CheckLive calculation: 1-0 (Iceland vs Estonia, regulation time). Confidence describes model signal strength, not the probability of a win or an exact score.
Head to Head meetings
/
/
- 0
Victories
- 0
Draws
- 0
Victories
| label | first team | second team |
|---|---|---|
Victories |  0 | 0 |
Scored goals | 0 | 0 |
Average per game | 0 | 0 |
The biggest victory | 0 | 0 |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | 5.25 | 10.00 |