Hibernian host KF Shkëndija in the third qualifying round of the UEFA Europa Conference League. CheckLive's model favours the away side at 50% win probability, but with a low signal that is effectively a coin-flip rather than a firm verdict. Given how close this looks, a draw is a very realistic outcome.
Hibernian's recent form is mixed: they lost 1-2 to Motherwell, beat Malisheva 4-1 in this competition, then lost 0-2 in the return match, with friendly wins over Brøndby and Cliftonville either side. KF Shkëndija have been strong, winning four of their last five, including a 3-1 win over NK Bravo and comfortable victories against Europa FC, with their only defeat a 2-1 reverse to Bravo.
There is no previous head-to-head between the two clubs, so this is a meeting of unfamiliar opponents. With the model's signal so low, the key thing to watch is which side can impose themselves on the occasion. Expect a tight, evenly matched contest.
