CheckLive's model makes Helsingborgs IF the favourites for this Superettan meeting, but only just — a 52% win probability with a low signal. It is a close call, and a draw is a real possible outcome. Both teams go into it needing a result.
Sundsvall have lost their last five league games, falling 0-1 to Östersunds FK, 0-5 to Sandvikens IF, 1-2 to Falkenbergs FF, 1-3 to Norrby IF and 0-2 to Östersunds FK again. Helsingborgs have been mixed: they lost to IFK Norrköping (0-2) and Sandvikens IF (2-4), drew with United IK Nordic (1-1), and beat Falkenbergs FF (3-2), though they also lost a friendly to AB (0-2).
The head-to-head is firmly in Helsingborgs' favour: from eight meetings, Sundsvall have one win, three draws and four defeats. The most recent meeting, in June, saw Helsingborgs win 5-2. Given the low signal behind the favourite, Sundsvall's poor run and Helsingborgs' inconsistency, the key thing to watch is whether the draw emerges as the likeliest result.
