It's a USL Championship meeting between Phoenix Rising FC and Hartford Athletic, and CheckLive sees Phoenix as marginal favourites with a 56% win probability and medium signal. There's no stage or knockout pressure here — just a regular-season clash where both sides will be keen to pick up points.
Phoenix Rising have had a rough run, losing three of their last five. They beat Monterey Bay FC 3-2 but then lost to Av Alta FC (1-2) and Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC (1-3) before a 3-4 defeat to Oakland Roots SC and a 1-1 draw with El Paso Locomotive FC. Hartford Athletic have also struggled, with only one win in five — a 2-1 victory over Westchester SC. They lost to Rhode Island FC (0-1) and Louisville City FC (0-1) and drew with Orange County SC (2-2) and Pittsburgh Riverhounds (0-0).
The head-to-head record favours Phoenix, who have two wins and a draw in three meetings. The last encounter, in July 2024, finished 0-0, so these two know how to cancel each other out. With both teams in inconsistent form, a tight contest looks likely.
