Halesowen Town host Basford United in the FA Cup Qualification Round 1. CheckLive favour the home side, giving Halesowen a 69% win probability with a strong signal, though that still leaves Basford and a draw as real possibilities. With a place in the next qualifying round on the line, the tie looks like a clear but not certain lean towards the hosts.
Halesowen’s recent form has been uneven: they lost 1-3 to Redditch United and 0-2 to Real Bedford, then beat Needham Market and Bishop’s Stortford by 1-0 either side of a 0-1 defeat at Bury Town. Basford United have also been patchy, winning 2-1 at Belper Town and 1-0 at Corby Town, but losing 0-1 to Bedworth United, 0-1 to Shepshed Dynamo and 1-5 at Wellingborough Town.
There is no head-to-head record between the clubs to lean on, so the form lines are the main guide. Halesowen have looked solid when keeping things tight at home, while Basford’s defensive vulnerability away from home, especially after conceding five at Wellingborough, is the key thing to watch. It is a winnable tie for either side, with a draw far from out of the question.
