This is an FA Cup first qualifying round tie, with progression to the next stage at stake. CheckLive's numbers favour Guiseley, giving them a 67% chance of going through on a strong signal, though that still leaves clear room for an upset. It is not a foregone conclusion.
Stockton's recent form reads: lost to Redcar Athletic 0-2, lost to Avro 3-5, lost to Guiseley 0-3, beat Alfreton Town 2-0, then lost to Gainsborough Trinity 1-4. Guiseley have won four of their last five – 4-0 against AFC Emley, a 1-2 loss at Lancaster City, 3-0 over Stockton, 2-1 at Curzon Ashton and 3-2 against Bury.
The head-to-head is far more balanced than the last result suggests: in six meetings Stockton have won three, drawn two and lost just one. Still, Guiseley's recent 3-0 win over them and their strong run of form give them the edge. The overall record shows draws have happened in this fixture, so a tight contest would not be a surprise.
