Genoa host Südtirol in the Coppa Italia Round of 32, with a place in the next round the reward. CheckLive makes Genoa the favourite at 59% model signal strength, which is a medium read rather than a firm one. On that number this is close enough to go either way, and a draw in regulation time is a genuine outcome here.
Genoa's last four have brought one win and three defeats: 4-1 at home to Ascoli in the Coppa Italia on 16 August, then 0-2 at home to Napoli, 1-0 away to Lazio and 1-4 at home to Como in Serie A. Südtirol are unbeaten across their last five, with 2-2 away at Catanzaro in the Coppa Italia on 15 August, home wins over Virtus Entella (1-0) and Catanzaro (2-0), plus draws away at Benevento (1-1) and at home to Modena (1-1) on 12 September.
The two available meetings both came in Serie B: Genoa won 2-0 at home in December 2022 and the sides drew 0-0 in Bolzano in May 2023, so Genoa lead this small sample 1W-1D-0L. The thing to watch is whether Genoa's back line tightens up after shipping eight goals in four, because Südtirol have conceded only four in five and look comfortable keeping games low-scoring.
